Consistent model selection procedure for general integer-valued time series

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper deals with model selection for a general class of integer-valued time series. We propose penalized criterion based on the Poisson quasi-likelihood model. Under certain regularity conditions, consistency procedure as well and asymptotic normality estimator selected are established. Simulation experiments conducted some classical models such negative binomial linear nonlinear dynamics. Also, an application to real dataset is provided.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Holt’s exponential smoothing model for interval-valued time series

Interval-valued time series are interval-valued data that are collected in a chronological sequence through time. This paper adapts an approach to forecasting interval valued-time series based on Holt’s exponential smoothing method. In the adapted Holt’s method for interval-valued time series, the smoothing parameters are estimated by using techniques for non-linear optimization problems with b...

متن کامل

The Combined Poisson Inma(2) Models for Integer-valued Time Series

In this paper, we introduce a new combined integer-valued moving average model of order 2 with poisson innovation, denoted by PCINMA(2). We consider some properties of this process, such as expectation, variance, autocovariance function. Stationary and ergodicity are obtained. We estimate the unknown parameters by using Yule-Walker estimation, and use simulation to assess the performance of Yul...

متن کامل

General time consistent discounting

Modeling inter-temporal choice is a key problem in both computer science and economic theory. The discounted utility model of Samuelson is currently the most popular model for measuring the global utility of a time-series of local utilities. The model is limited by not allowing the discount function to change with the age of the agent. This is despite the fact that many agents, in particular hu...

متن کامل

Smoothing Estimation for Discrete-Valued Time Series

We deal with the smoothed estimators for conditional probability functions of discrete-valued time series fY t g under two diierent settings. When the conditional distribution of Y t given its lagged values falls in a parametric family and depends on exogenous random variables, a smoothed maximum (partial) likelihood estimator for the unknown parameter is proposed. While there is no prior infor...

متن کامل

Smoothing Methods for Histogram-valued Time Series

We adapt smoothing methods to histogram-valued time series (HTS) by introducing a barycentric histogram that emulates the "average" operation, which is the key to any smoothing filter. We show that, due to its linear properties, only the Mallows-barycenter is acceptable if we wish to preserve the essence of any smoothing mechanism. We implement a barycentric exponential smoothing to forecast th...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Statistics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1029-4910', '0233-1888', '1026-7786']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02331888.2022.2029861